Nfl Situation Spotlight – #51 – Teams Coming Off A Clutch Win (cw).
It should come as no surprise to even the most novice of pro-football bettors that the outcome of a team’s last game can have a significant effect on how they fare versus the number in their next contest. One particular area of interest in this regard concerns teams coming off a Clutch Win.
A ‘Clutch’ win-by my definition-is when a team tallies the final score of a game, in either the 4th quarter or overtime, moving them from a tied or losing position, into a winning one.
Teams coming off this so-called ‘gut-check’ win are slightly worse-than-average versus the spread in the following week (400-418 ATS since ’94) which in itself, is not a profitable situation when wagering at 10/11 odds.
The Clutch Win situation only becomes interesting when we add a second Primary condition that specifies that the current opponent of the team in question has a worse-than-average Starting Field Position Average Against (SFPA). The league average for SFPA is usually around 30 and in this case, we are interested in teams that have at-least a 31 average or...
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