Simple Nfl Betting Systems – #49 – The Super-bowl Effect.
After studying and cataloging hundreds of different NFL betting systems over the past decade or-so, I have learned that there are really only 3 distinct types of systems that effectively beat the spread. They each have the ability to expose opportunities for profit versus the linethey just do so in very different ways.
The first and most common category (which accounts for the majority of systems that I employ), covers situations that are based on mathematical measurements of specific areas of team play, which work towards revealing instances where one side may have an advantage over another after the point spread is factored in. Examples of this would include systems based primarily on Rush Offense Ratings, Team Efficiency Ratings, or any other statistical measurement of team skill.
The 2nd group involves systems that isolate situations where the betting public is way off with their assessment of team strength and an opportunity for profit based on the resulting ‘skewed’ line may be present. Many of these systems work their magic in the early part of the season, when bettors...
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